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Short teal season possible
Poor conditions in North Dakota for bluewings have domino effect here

June 23, 2008

By SHANNON TOMPKINS
Copyright 2008 Houston Chronicle

Texas waterfowlers should know within a week or so whether they'll be looking at a 16-day or a nine-day teal season this September.

Preliminary estimates of the blue-winged teal breeding population index are expected to be announced this week in Washington at a meeting of federal and state waterfowl managers.

If the bluewing breeding population index is 4.7 million or higher, Texas will see a 16-day, teal-only season.

If the bluewing index is below 4.7 million, federal waterfowl management policy mandates a nine-day teal-only season.

This past month, Texas Parks and Wildlife Department staff proposed teal season dates of Sept. 13-28 for a 16-day season and Sept. 20-28 if the teal season is limited to nine days.

The bluewing population index will come from the annual spring survey of duck-breeding populations across the main duck-nesting regions of the north-central United States and Canada's prairies and parklands.

That survey, conducted annually since 1955, is used to track wetland abundance and populations of 10 major duck species.

With most of the survey work completed, waterfowl managers are crunching the data and plan to have at least a rough estimate of the bluewing population index to offer at the meeting this week of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service's regulations committee.

Prospects a bit 'iffy'

This past week, none of the handful of state and federal waterfowl managers contacted were willing to climb out on a limb and predict if this year's bluewing index would hit or exceed the 4.7 million birds required to trigger a 16-day teal season. All preferred to wait for the "official" word.

But information from North Dakota makes things look a bit "iffy" for a 16-day teal season.

North Dakota is the heart of bluewing teal nesting country, and the majority of the bluewings that pass through Texas each autumn are hatched in the prairie pothole country of that state.

Things look grim in North Dakota this year.

The North Dakota Game and Fish Department has, since 1948, conducted its own annual wetland count and breeding duck population survey. This year's survey, conducted in mid-May, produced sobering results.

North Dakota's "water index" — an estimate of the number of ponds, sheet water, potholes and other wetlands crucial to breeding and nesting waterfowl — was down a stunning 70 percent this year when compared with 2007 numbers.

The 2008 North Dakota water index was 57 percent below the long-term (1948-2007) average. And it was the 10th-lowest water index in the 61 years North Dakota has conducted the count, and the lowest since 1992.

Even those numbers don't tell how uninviting North Dakota was when bluewings and other ducks were looking for feeding, courtship and nesting areas.

Lots of ducks remain

"Wetland conditions were generally much worse than indicated by the numbers," wrote the authors of the North Dakota Breeding Duck Survey, 2008. Seems the survey counts even the tiniest, thinnest patches of water. And many of those patches were expected to evaporate within days or weeks.

North Dakota's wetland abundance and, just as important, variety of wetlands was way down this spring, but the number of ducks returning to the prairies was statistically unchanged from 2007.

A lot of ducks came back to North Dakota this spring. The North Dakota survey indicated total duck numbers were up about 6 percent from 2007, making the total breeding duck population the 13th-highest on record and 60 percent above the 1948-2007 average.

Most important to Texas waterfowlers looking toward teal season, the North Dakota survey indicated bluewing numbers were statistically unchanged (down 4 percent) from 2007.

That might be good news for those hoping for a 16-day teal season this September.

A year ago, the federal duck breeding population survey — the one used to determine teal season length — pegged the bluewing index at a robust 6.7 million birds.

If the federal breeding duck population survey reflects a similar minimal change in bluewing population, the index should easily meet the 4.7 million needed to allow a 16-day teal season.

Whether it does or doesn't, the over-arching message from North Dakota's prairies this spring is that there likely will be fewer — perhaps a lot fewer — bluewings and other North Dakota-hatched ducks headed to Texas this autumn.

Duck numbers were high this spring, but the dearth of wetlands combined with loss of hundreds of thousands of acres of crucial grasslands (nesting cover) mean duck production likely is to be minimal this year.

It has been in North Dakota, so far.

Overall outlook bleak

My friend and hunting partner, Michael Furtman, called from North Dakota this past week. Mike, a writer and photographer, makes an annual pilgrimage to NoDak to spend a week or so taking photos of waterfowl, shorebirds and the rest of the amazing life that swarms the prairie pothole and Missouri Coteau region each spring and summer.

Typically, Furtman sees dozens — hundreds, really — of duck hens trailing strings of yellow-and-black ducklings on the potholes and larger lakes.

This year?

"I've seen four broods. Four!" he said. "It's horrible."

Furtman did offer a bit of good news. North Dakota's prairies were blessed with a good soaking a week or so ago, recharging some of the withering wetlands.

And some late-nesting duck species — gadwall, shovelers and scaup — were involved in courtship behavior.

But for most North Dakota ducks — blue-winged teal and mallards, particularly — the rain came too late to help with this year's nesting and brood rearing. Expect poor production from North Dakota.

That doesn't bode well for this September's teal season, no matter if it's 16 days or nine days.

And it certainly could mean real problems next year.

shannon.tompkins@chron.com